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	<title>Fantasy Bits &#187; Fantasy Baseball</title>
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	<description>Bits and Pieces of fantasy sports</description>
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		<title>Baseball&#8217;s Rumor Roundup</title>
		<link>http://fantasybits.com/fantasy-baseball/baseballs-rumor-roundup/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 22 Nov 2009 23:07:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>motle</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fantasy Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Features]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crawford]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[roundup]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rumors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Upton]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://fantasybits.com/?p=72</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[JD Drew&#8211; JD Drew’s surgery will have no bearing on his contract. According to the Boston Herald, Drew’s deal allows the Red Sox to opt out of the 2010 and/or 2011 seasons if Drew spends 35 days on the disabled with injuries related to a pre-existing right shoulder condition or if he finishes next season [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>JD Drew</strong>&#8211; JD Drew’s surgery will have no bearing on his contract. According to the <a href="http://www.bostonherald.com/blogs/sports/red_sox/index.php/2009/11/22/drews-surgery-has-no-bearing-on-contract/?author=9" target="_blank"><strong>Boston Herald</strong></a>, Drew’s deal allows the Red Sox to opt out of the 2010 and/or 2011 seasons if Drew spends 35 days on the disabled with injuries related to a pre-existing right shoulder condition or if he finishes next season on the disabled list and can’t play the outfield in 2011.</p>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
<p><strong>Carl Crawford </strong>and<strong> B.J. Upton</strong>&#8211; According to <a href="http://www.tampabay.com/sports/baseball/rays/tampa-bay-rays-plan-to-be-aggressive-in-addressing-bullpen-catcher/1053598" target="_blank">TampaBay.com</a><strong> </strong>, the Rays VP Andrew Friedman<strong> </strong>plans to be active — and likely will have to be creative — in addressing two main areas: adding a reliever or two, and figuring out the catching tandem. Friedman said the Rays are looking at both right- and left-handed relievers. Whether they acquire one through free agency or trades remains to be seen. Rangers and White Sox have shown interest in CF <strong>B.J. Upton</strong>, and the Mets and Braves have inquired about All-Star LF <strong>Carl Crawford</strong>. The Rays have said they&#8217;re interested in discussing a long-term deal with Crawford, who is eligible to be a free agent after the 2010 season.</p>
<p><strong>Buster Posey</strong> and <strong>Freddy Sanchez</strong>&#8211; The Giants are have organizational meetings now that the Arizona Fall League season has been completed to discuss whether Buster Posey is ready to handle the duties. It is looking more like Benjie Molina has seen his last days in a Giants uniform. Also reported in the <a title="SF" href="http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/blogs/giants/detail?blogid=22&amp;entry_id=52128" target="_blank"><strong>SF Gate</strong></a>, Freddy Sanchez may be asked to handle third base and then a possibly they may go over a second baseman.</p>
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		<title>Back to Baseball</title>
		<link>http://fantasybits.com/fantasy-baseball/baseball/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Jul 2008 22:49:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>motle</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fantasy Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crawfors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[slump]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fantasybits.com/?p=76</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Unload while value is high&#8230;..
Carl Crawford is in an 0-for-25 slump that has seen has average fall from .287 to .270. Unfortunately, Crawford&#8217;s slump extends even further back as he is hitting .231 with only one home run over his last 15 games. This guy is far too talented to continue to struggle like this, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Unload while value is high&#8230;..</p>
<p><strong>Carl Crawford</strong> is in an 0-for-25 slump that has seen has average fall from .287 to .270. Unfortunately, Crawford&#8217;s slump extends even further back as he is hitting .231 with only one home run over his last 15 games. This guy is far too talented to continue to struggle like this, even if he does have a sore hamstring. The injury is a concern, especially since speed is such a huge portion of his game, but Crawford appears to be set up for an extended run of success in the second half given his track record, that is if he can get that body of his fixed.</p>
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		<title>Players to watch AND a shift for this site.</title>
		<link>http://fantasybits.com/fantasy-baseball/players-watch-shift-site/</link>
		<comments>http://fantasybits.com/fantasy-baseball/players-watch-shift-site/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2008 16:18:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>motle</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fantasy Baseball]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fantasybits.com/?p=67</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The shift.
I will begin to look at the NFL season and its upcoming fantasy draft and season that fantasy players are getting excited about. The MLB and NFL will be side by side until I get it figured out.
Remember, shift happens.
MLB
Aviles-KC this team was struggling until he was inserted into the lineup. Grab him while [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The shift.</p>
<p>I will begin to look at the NFL season and its upcoming fantasy draft and season that fantasy players are getting excited about. The MLB and NFL will be side by side until I get it figured out.</p>
<p>Remember, shift happens.</p>
<p>MLB</p>
<p>Aviles-KC this team was struggling until he was inserted into the lineup. Grab him while you can.</p>
<p>Glaus- STL &#8211; Heating up with the weather. If available in your league, do not wait.</p>
<p>Kershaw LAD- send back to minors. Thought he was a can&#8217;t miss and he was a miss. He will return.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>TOP 50 hitting and pitching prospects</title>
		<link>http://fantasybits.com/fantasy-baseball/top-50-hitting-pitching-prospects/</link>
		<comments>http://fantasybits.com/fantasy-baseball/top-50-hitting-pitching-prospects/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 26 Apr 2008 14:55:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>motle</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fantasy Baseball]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fantasybits.com/?p=65</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This information comes from BASEBALL PROSPECT CENTRAL
 
AMERICAN LEAGUE
TOP 50 HITTING PROSPECTS
1 Evan Longoria TAM 3B A+ Long term deal ensures he&#8217;ll stay in the big leagues. Impressive start gets him #1 spot here.
4 Matt Wieters BAL C A .385 with 4 HRs. So far ahead of the other catching prospects it&#8217;s not funny.
5 Mike [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-size: 10pt;font-family: Arial;color: maroon">This information comes from BASEBALL PROSPECT CENTRAL</span></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-size: 10pt;font-family: Arial;color: maroon"> </span></strong><a href="http://www.fantasybits.com/wp-content/uploads/bpc-cover.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-64" src="http://www.fantasybits.com/wp-content/uploads/bpc-cover.jpg" alt="BPC" width="133" height="195" /></a></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-size: 10pt;font-family: Arial;color: maroon">AMERICAN LEAGUE</span></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-size: 10pt;font-family: Arial;color: maroon">TOP 50 HITTING PROSPECTS</span></strong><span style="font-size: 10pt;font-family: Arial"><br />
<strong>1 Evan Longoria TAM 3B </strong>A+ Long term deal ensures he&#8217;ll stay in the big leagues. Impressive start gets him #1 spot here.<br />
<strong>4 Matt Wieters BAL C </strong>A .385 with 4 HRs. So far ahead of the other catching prospects it&#8217;s not funny.<br />
<strong>5 Mike Moustakas KC SS</strong> A Just .193 in the early going, but 9:6 K:BB offers some encouragement. Not worried about his bat.<br />
<strong>6 Jacoby Ellsbury BOS OF</strong> A- 3 HR already is a surprise and an anomoly, but it&#8217;s hard to see Crisp getting a lot of at-bats over him.</span><span style="font-size: 10pt;font-family: Arial"></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 10pt;font-family: Arial"> <strong>7 Travis Snider TOR OF </strong>A- We said he could move quickly and he did, getting AA promotion. Team&#8217;s LF of the near future.<br />
<strong>13 Reid Brignac TAM SS</strong> A- .258 overall and just .222 vs. LHP. Probably notthing more than a Sept. callup at this rate.<br />
<strong>15 Carlos Gonzalez OAK OF</strong> A- .348 with 3 HR and an improved 14:7 K:BB. Might see him by June.<br />
<strong>18 Brandon Wood LAA 3B </strong>A- Power is there (7 HR), but 26:5 K:BB is the big concern. .325 AVG in last 10 games though.<br />
<strong>19 Vladimir Balentien SEA OF<span style="font-weight: normal"> A- Making</span><span style="font-weight: normal"> good contact, so .245 AVG will come around. Like Jeff Clement, he&#8217;s be an upgrade at DH.<br />
</span>26 Carlos Gomez MIN OF</strong> B+ .230 with 24:2 K:BB could have him ticketed for AAA at some point soon.<br />
<strong>29 Jose Tabata NYY OF</strong> B+ .222 with no homers in 81 at-bats. Age aside, it&#8217;s time for him to produce.<br />
<strong>30 Austin Jackson NYY OF </strong>B+ 0 HR in 85 at-bats, but 10-game hit steak and very impressive 13:14 K:BB.<br />
<strong>35 Chris Carter OAK 1B</strong> B Just on FIRE. 10-for-20 with six homers in last six games (3-HR game).<br />
<strong>36 Carlos Triunfel SEA SS </strong>B Awful start, but coming around in last two games perhaps? 4-for-7.<br />
<strong>41 Taylor Teagarden TEX C </strong>B 21 K in 55 at-bats leaves him below Mendoza line. 1.012 OPS last year more indicative of talent.<br />
<strong>45 Beau Mills CLE 1B </strong>B LH hitter but hitting .313 vs. lefties and an abyssmal .146 vs. RHP. 13:12 K:BB is encouraging.</span></p>
<p><strong><span style="color: maroon">TOP 50 PITCHING PROSPECTS </span></strong><br />
<strong>4 Joba Chamberlain NYY SP</strong> A Hank Steinbrenner is pushing for Joba in the rotation. Hank really is his father&#8217;s son.<br />
<strong>5 Rick Porcello DET SP</strong> A 1.35 ERA, 16:5 K:BB in 20 innings. Yeah he&#8217;s pretty good alright.<br />
<strong>6 David Price TAM SP</strong> A He&#8217;s throwing now and should return in early-to-mid May. Elbow doesn&#8217;t seem serious.<br />
<strong>7 Wade Davis TAM SP</strong> A- 4.09 ERA isn&#8217;t awful, but 11:8 K:BB in 22 innings bears watching. 9.6 K/9 last season.<br />
<strong>11 Nick Adenhart LAA SP</strong> A- 1.17 ERA, but 14:12 K:BB will need work if he wants to see Anaheim before September.<br />
<strong>19 Jordan Walden LAA SP </strong>B+ 1.90 ERA, 21:6 K:BB in 23.2 innings so far in full season debut. He can be special.<br />
<strong>20 Adam Miller CLE SP</strong> B+ 2008 debut came Wednesday and it was a success &#8211; 5 scorless with 2 K&#8217;s.<br />
<strong>24 Brett Anderson OAK SP</strong> B+ 3 greats starts 1 awful = 2.66, 23:5 K:BB, 20.1 innings. I might be underrating him at this slot.<br />
<strong>25 Luke Hochevar KC SP </strong>B+ Debut didn&#8217;t go so well, so not sure he sticks in the rotation from here on out.<br />
<strong>29 Aaron Poreda CHW SP</strong> B Far from dominant, but 2.35 ERA gets it done every time. Still may wind up a reliver.<br />
<strong>30 Neftali Feliz TEX SP</strong> B 8 R and 8 BB in last 9.2 innings covering 3 starts. Inconsistency isn&#8217;t a surprise considering age.<br />
<strong>32 Eric Hurley TEX SP</strong> B 5-5-2-2-2-7 last time out was his best start of the year. 29 H in just 19 2/3 innings is a bit much.<br />
<strong>33 Brett Cecil TOR SP </strong>B On a strict pitchcount &#8211; just 7 1/3 innings in 3 starts, but he&#8217;s been sharp.<br />
<strong>39 Daniel Cortes KC SP</strong> B 1.35 ERA in 13.1 innings, but 9:8 K:BB is far from encouraging and he&#8217;s averaging under 5 IP/start.<br />
<strong>41 Justin Masterson BOS SP </strong>B 0.95 ERA and 23:5 K:BB is a nice start to be sure. Still not convinced he&#8217;s a starter long term.<br />
<strong>45 Alan Horne NYY SP</strong> B Could replace Ian Kennedy at some point if Horne&#8217;s strained biceps isn&#8217;t serious.<br />
<strong>50 Radhames Liz BAL SP</strong> B Not sure how a guy with his stuff has a 7.98 ERA. 4 BB in 14 2/3 IP isn&#8217;t Daniel Cabrera-like.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 10pt;font-family: Arial"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 10pt;font-family: Arial">NATIONAL LEAGUE</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-size: 10pt;font-family: Arial;color: maroon">TOP 50 HITTING PROSPECTS</span></strong><span style="font-size: 10pt;font-family: Arial"><br />
<strong>2 Jay Bruce CIN OF</strong> A+ Slow start, but 8 hits in last 6 games. Probably a Griffey injury away from the call.<br />
<strong>3 Colby Rasmus STL OF</strong> A .333 in last six games and has now homered in back-to-back games. We say up by June at the latest.<br />
<strong>12 Andy LaRoche LAD 3B </strong>A- Began a 20-game rehab assignment on Wednesday, putting him on target for a mid-May return.<br />
<strong>14 Andrew McCutcheon PIT OF</strong> A- Heating up&#8230;.341 in last 10 games. 11 of 21 hits are of the XBH variety.<br />
<strong>16 Chase Headley SD OF</strong> A- 19 K and .234 AVG in 64 at-bats, but he&#8217;s probably still mad he opened in AAA.<br />
<strong>21 Angel Villalona SF 3B</strong> A- Slumping badly&#8230;down to .222 with 16:4 K:BB, but not surprised or worried due to his age.<br />
<strong>22 Matt Antonelli SD 2B </strong>B+ With Iguchi struggling, the opportunity is there, but .228 AVG isn&#8217;t helping his cause.<br />
<strong>23 Jason Heyward ATL OF </strong>B+ .312/.368/.416 is highly impressive for a kid his age (or anyone). Just needs to cut down on the K&#8217;s.<br />
<strong>28 Fernando Martinez NYM OF </strong>B+ Slow start, but four multi-hits games in his last six. 22:5 K:BB bears watching.<br />
<strong>33 Ian Stewart COL 3B B </strong>Last 3 games &#8211; 6 H, 2 HR, 7 RBI. Could be his long-awaited breakout year.<br />
<strong>37 Bryan Anderson STL C</strong> B LH hitter is 9-for-20 vs. LHP. .369 AVG helps mask 3 BB in 15 games.<br />
<strong>40 Neil Walker PIT 3B</strong> B 77% CT% is okay, so you have to figure .161 AVG will improve. 13:6 K:BB could be worse.<br />
<strong>42 Gerardo Parra ARI OF </strong>B 10 SB already and a .393 OBP. Arizona can really crank out the OF prospects.<br />
<strong>44 Michael Burgess WAS OF </strong>B .303 with 4 HR, but CT% of 64% will eat away at that AVG quickly and soon.</span></p>
<p><strong><span style="color: maroon">TOP 50 PITCHING PROSPECTS</span></strong><br />
<strong>1 Clayton Kershaw LAD SP </strong>A 1.83 ERA, 23 K in 19.2 innings and Dodgers have a hole in the No. 5 slot. Hmmm&#8230;<br />
<strong>8 Max Scherzer ARI SP</strong> A- Big jump, but it&#8217;s hard to ignore a 29:3 K:BB. Should be Arizona&#8217;s No. 5 starter any day.<br />
<strong>10 Homer Bailey CIN SP </strong>A 1.03 ERA is great, 16 K in 26.1 innings is surprisingly low. He should rebound though.<br />
<strong>14 Jarrod Parker ARI SP</strong> A- 4 innings in last start, 11:1 K:BB in 9.2 innings overall. Caution is being exercised here.<br />
<strong>17 Manny Parra MIL SP</strong> B+ Sticks in the rotation ahead of David Bush, but he&#8217;s on a short leash. Tues. was better, but not great.<br />
<strong>28 Tommy Hanson ATL SP</strong> B 22 scoreless innings and 32 K&#8217;s to start the year is a good way to get promoted quickly.<br />
<strong>36 Matt Latos SD SP</strong> B Sore shoulder plus talk of move to the bullpen gets him bumped down a bit. Should debut any day now.<br />
<strong>37 Jeremy Jeffress MIL SP</strong> B Love the talent, but couldn&#8217;t keep him in the 20s with the drug suspension and all.<br />
<strong>42 Jamie Garcia STL SP</strong> B 2.35 ERA in 23 innings and 29:9 K:BB is encouraging. Probably a late-season call-up.<br />
<strong>46 Tim Alderson SF SP</strong> B K&#8217;s aren&#8217;t there yet (11 in 21 IP), but he doesn’t turn 20 until November.<br />
<strong>47 Juan Gutierrez ARI SP</strong> B 1 ER in 6 IP in his 08 debut. May get the first injury call-up.<br />
<strong>48 Greg Reynolds COL SP</strong> B Last start was better, but 6.33 ERA and ugly 7:5 K:BB in 21 1/3 IP is concerning.<br />
<strong>49 Madison Bumgarner SF</strong> SP B 7.71 ERA will improve as has some encouraging signs &#8211; 12:3 K:BB, 9.3 K/9.</p>
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		<title>Looking around the American League</title>
		<link>http://fantasybits.com/fantasy-baseball/american-league/</link>
		<comments>http://fantasybits.com/fantasy-baseball/american-league/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 07 Apr 2008 01:14:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>motle</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fantasy Baseball]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fantasybits.com/fantasy-baseball/american-league/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It appears as          if Brian Roberts is determined to repeat last year’s 50 steals          (he attempted three last night). Look          for the Orioles to continue to sit Luke [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Verdana"><font size="2">It appears as          if <strong>Brian </strong>Roberts is determined to repeat last year’s 50 steals          (he attempted three last night). Look          for the Orioles to continue to sit Luke Scott when the opposition rolls out a          lefty.  Bad news for <strong>Jacoby Ellsbury </strong>owners as he has received 11          AB during week 1 versus <strong>Coco Crisp</strong>’s 17.  <strong>J.D. Drew </strong>has          started the past three games after missing the Red Sox initial 3 games          of the season.  <strong>Carlos Quentin</strong> is off to a nice start, and White          Sox manager Ozzie Guillen is quoted as saying, “If he keeps playing like          that, he’ll be in the lineup, and we’ll figure the rest out,”.           Meanwhile, Guillen also stated that even though OF <strong>Jerry Owens </strong>is          eligible to come off the DL on Tuesday, he will not be back with the          team unless he is 100%.  Watch this situation closely because Owens is a          candidate to finish the year in the top 10 in steals.  Also, this could          affect a number of the White Sox 1<sup>st</sup> week regulars depending          on how Guillen decides to rearrange the lineup card upon Owens’ return.          <strong>Victor Martinez</strong>’s injury does not appear to be anything serious          (he was able to pinch-hit on Thursday), but the Indians are being          extremely careful bringing him back.  Still, he should return to the          starting lineup early next week.  <strong>Kelly Shoppach</strong> will continue to          start until that happens.  <strong>Gary Sheffield</strong> tore a tendon in his          finger.  Sheffield hopes to avoid the DL, but it does not look like he          will return real soon.  So, if you set a weekly lineup, it would be          prudent of you to leave him off of it.  On the other hand, this allows         <strong>Miguel Cabrera</strong> to DH while recovering from a sore quad.  This          situation also allows rookie <strong>Clete Thomas</strong> to start for the time          being.  CF <strong>David Dejesus</strong> successfully tested his sprained ankle,          and he should assume his normal starting role during the upcoming week.           If for some reason Dejesus is unable to return, <strong>Joey Gathright</strong>,          an excellent source of speed, will continue to get the start in center.           Alex<strong> Gordon</strong> looks to rebound from a dreadful rookie campaign as          he homered twice during the season’s first week.  <strong>Miguel Olivo</strong>          returns from suspension; <strong>Matt Tupman</strong> was sent down to make room.           Popular sleeper pick <strong>Howie Kendrick</strong> is off to a very hot start          (.435).  For now <strong>Jason Kubel</strong> owners do not have to worry about          their manager’s odd distribution of at bats because he will start full          time as the result of <strong>Michal Cuddyer</strong> landing on the disabled list          with a dislocated finger.  <strong>Jorge Posada</strong> went 2-4 with 2 RBIs last          night after missing a few games with a sore shoulder.  <strong>Travis Buck</strong>          was benched versus lefty C.C. Sabathia yesterday.  He is ice cold to          start off the season with 9 hits and no strikeouts in 18 at bats.  <strong>         Eric Chavez</strong> will be out another month.  <strong>Dioner Navarro</strong> was          placed on the 15-day DL, and <strong>Ben Zobrist </strong>will not see action this          week.  <strong>Shawn Riggans</strong> will start at catcher for the Rays.  <strong>         David Murphy</strong>’s hot start has definitely merited him a spot on all          AL-only fantasy<strong> </strong>rosters</font><strong><font size="2">.</font></strong></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Verdana"><strong><font size="2">Bartolo          Colon </font></strong><font size="2">looked good in a minor league rehab          assignment, but the plan is still for him to make at least two more          starts to build up his endurance before he joins the Red Sox.  <strong>Josh          Beckett</strong> said his hip was just as much responsible for his DL trip as          was his back, but he is still scheduled to start today in Toronto.  <strong>         Dontrelle Willis</strong>’s struggles continued into the regular season; he          walked a whopping 7 batters yesterday.  Royals ace <strong>Gil Meche</strong> has          struggled, but the rest of the staff, especially the highly intelligent         <strong>Brian Bannister</strong>, has looked sharp.  <strong>Jered Weaver</strong> is doing          his best impression as a staff ace in the absence of <strong>John Lackey </strong>         and <strong>Kelvim Escobar</strong> who are not close to returning anytime soon.            Following a so-so minor league outing, <strong>Francisco Liriano</strong> will          make another minor league start on Tuesday, this time at Triple-A.  His          status will be reevaluated after that outing, but it is highly unlikely          that he will make a big league start next week.  <strong>Kevin Slowey</strong> is          hurt and will at the very least miss his next start (likely to wind up          on the DL).  Twin’s manager Ron Gardenhire said he did not have any          immediate ideas on how to fill that void, but he did suggest moving <strong>         Brian Bass</strong> out of the bullpen.  Note that the Twins did sign former          Giant <strong>Jerome Williams</strong>.  <strong>Andy Pettitte</strong> who began the season          on the DL (back) had a rough outing versus the Rays yesterday.  <strong>Dana          Eveland</strong> took the hill as the A’s 5<sup>th</sup> starter yesterday,          and he was great, picking up the win against a talented Cleveland          offense.  However, I do not know what his status will be once <strong>Chad          Gaudin</strong> returns to the rotation.  Gaudin will start next Saturday          barring any setbacks in another rehab assignment that will take place          Monday night.  <strong>Scott Kazmir</strong> was eligible to come off the DL          yesterday, but the Rays want him to build up more endurance before he          rejoins the club.  It is unclear exactly when that will happen (some          time at the end of the month), but the Rays are wise not to rush the          talented but injury-prone Kazmir.</font></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Verdana" size="2">Orioles’ closer <strong>         George Sherrill</strong> saved three games this week.  Even though he is          unlikely to keep that pace up, Sherrill is a solid reliever (2.36 ERA),          and this is further evidence of why it does not make sense to draft          closers early as saves are fairly difficult to predict.  Tiger’s          reliever <strong>Fernando Rodney</strong> was thought to be making progress but          had a disappointing bullpen session Friday; it will still be quite some          time before he rejoins the Tiger bullpen.  One of the Angels top setup          men, <strong>Scot Shields</strong>, is eligible to come off the DL list today, and          all signs point towards that happening.  <strong>Francisco Rodriguez</strong> has          changed his delivery as a result of a sore ankle, and early returns have          been a success (3 saves in 3 chances, 0 ER).  Not a good start to the          season for <strong>Huston Street</strong> who has given up 5 ER in under 4 IP.  <strong>         Brandon Morrow</strong> could be called up when eligible on Friday after an          encouraging minor league outing in which his fastball was clocked at          96mph.  <strong>J.J. Putz</strong> has wound up on the DL, but the early prognosis          is that his injury is nothing serious.  <strong>Mark Lowe</strong> appears to be          in line for all save opportunities for the time being so don’t be fooled          by the fact that starter <strong>Miguel Batista</strong> registered a save.  The          Rangers expect <strong>Luis Mendoza</strong> to join their rotation on April 12<sup>th</sup>.          <strong>B.J. Ryan</strong> will be back with the Blue Jays in a week or so, but is          unclear how he will be used immediately upon his return.  Ryan will          definitely regain the closer’s role at some point, but until then it’s         <strong>Jeremy Accardo</strong>’s job (he’s been fantastic).</font></p>
<p><strong>         <span style="font-size: 10pt;font-family: Verdana;color: blue"></span></strong></p>
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		<title>One liners or more on the National League</title>
		<link>http://fantasybits.com/fantasy-baseball/liners-national-league/</link>
		<comments>http://fantasybits.com/fantasy-baseball/liners-national-league/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Mar 2008 23:47:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>motle</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fantasy Baseball]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fantasybits.com/fantasy-baseball/liners-national-league/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Because Doug Davis is due to have surgery for thyroid cancer in mid-April, Edgar Gonzalez will have to make more than just the one start early on.
 
Although John Smoltz (shoulder) will go on the disabled list, he&#8217;s still expected to start April 6 against the Mets, making him fine to have active this week.
 
The talk [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Because Doug Davis is due to have surgery for thyroid cancer in mid-April, Edgar Gonzalez will have to make more than just the one start early on.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Although John Smoltz (shoulder) will go on the disabled list, he&#8217;s still expected to start April 6 against the Mets, making him fine to have active this week.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">The talk about making Kosuke Fukudome the leadoff man against lefties is truly bizarre. It&#8217;s obvious that Ryan Theriot, a career .301/.384/462 hitter against lefties and a .267/.325/.327 hitter against righties, should hit high in the order versus southpaws and bat eighth the rest of the time if he absolutely has to play against righties.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">It seems like a given now that Corey Patterson will be the primary center fielder (adequate) and leadoff hitter (ugh) on Opening Day.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Scott Podsednik entered Friday&#8217;s game with 13 walks in 41 at-bats this spring, or exactly as many as he had in 214 at-bats for the White Sox last year.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">The Marlins decided on Rick VandenHurk as their No. 2 starter.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Michael Bourn has more strikeouts than hits this spring, a scary sign for a player the Astros are so heavily counting on him.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Juan Pierre didn&#8217;t need a good spring to guarantee that Joe Torre would go forward with him as the everyday left fielder and leadoff hitter, but he&#8217;s been positively awful and Andre Ethier, the superior player anyway, has been awesome.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Tony Gwynn Jr.&#8217;s strong spring could mean that Gabe Gross won&#8217;t have any fantasy value even while Mike Cameron sits out the first 25 games. Gwynn figures to get most of the starts against right-handers, with Gabe Kapler filling in versus lefties.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">With no outfield solution acquired, it&#8217;s still looking like Angel Pagan will be the Mets&#8217; primary left fielder.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Carlos Ruiz is penciled in as the No. 8 hitter, but he&#8217;s making a case to hit ahead of Feliz with his .372/.420/.558 line this spring.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">The Pirates officially named Nate McLouth their center fielder and then kept Nyjer Morgan as a backup anyway, something they originally said they wouldn&#8217;t do.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Justin Germano was picked as the fifth starter. He&#8217;ll make his first two starts at home against the Dodgers and in San Francisco, so he&#8217;ll be a nice play in NL-only leagues.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Now Eugenio Velez has gone from interesting sleeper to potential 40-steal guy. Ray Durham figures to start at second base initially, but the Giants would love to dump his contract, making room for Velez as a full-time.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">From the group of Skip Schumaker, Ryan Ludwick and Brian Barton, Schumaker figures to get the most playing time in April.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">With his salary preventing the Nats from finding a taker, Felipe Lopez likely will begin the year on the team&#8217;s bench. He&#8217;ll have to be mixed in frequently if the Nationals eventually hope to trade him. Still, it&#8217;s clear scouts haven&#8217;t liked what they&#8217;ve seen of him so far this spring.</p>
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		<title>Johnson-Prior-Harden and more</title>
		<link>http://fantasybits.com/fantasy-baseball/johnsonpriorharden/</link>
		<comments>http://fantasybits.com/fantasy-baseball/johnsonpriorharden/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 28 Mar 2008 14:44:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>motle</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fantasy Baseball]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fantasybits.com/fantasy-baseball/johnsonpriorharden/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[What              do a hand fracture, a chronic bad back, a broken cheek bone and a              broken leg have in common? They are all injuries that have kept   [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font><font face="Verdana" size="2">What              do a hand fracture, a chronic bad back, a broken cheek bone and a              broken leg have in common? They are all injuries that have kept              Nationals <strong>1B Nick Johnson</strong> out of the lineup for a significant              period of time during his career. Johnson is back and healthy and by              all reports will be the starting first baseman for the Nats when the              season opens. Johnson is a sabermatricans dream with his ability to              get on base. He has posted BB% of 13% or more in the past four              years. This has contributed a career .395 OBP. In addition to his              ability to take walks, Johnson is a heavy line drive hitter posting              a LD% over 20% since coming to D.C. Because of his past injuries,              Johnson will be overlooked in many leagues. However, he should be              considered, especially in deep leagues or leagues starting multiple              utility players or corner infielders. Duplicating his 2006 numbers              might be a little ambitious but if he can stay on the field he              should put up numbers similar numbers 2005.</p>
<p>Rangers <strong>SP Jason Jennings</strong> won his first game of the spring on              Thursday allowing two runs in 5.1 innings. Jennings did not pitch              after August 20th last year and is recovering from surgery to fix a              torn flexor tendon. Jennings finished with a 2.12 ERA this spring.              However, even if you wanted to ignore and give Jennings the benefit              of the doubt for his injury plague 2007, one should not expect              Jennings to return to his 2006 numbers. That year was almost a              perfect storm for Jennings where he posted a HR/FB% of 7% and a              career low in .293 BABIP. Both these indicators combined with a              below average career K/BB ratio of 1.51 should mean a return to a 5+              ERA and 1.50+ WHIP that was the norm for Jennings prior to 2006.</p>
<p>The chants to “Free <strong>Andre Ethier</strong>” are growing louder by the              day from both Dodger fans and fantasy owners alike. Ethier (1.165              OPS) has out produced incumbent <span class="yshortcuts">Juan Pierre</span> (.500 OPS – that’s not a              typo) by a country mile this spring. His offensive supremacy              combined with being an above-average fielder would make it an              absolute crime if Ethier isn’t starting in left field for Los              Angeles come opening day. His gaudy spring numbers is making fantasy              owners salivate but owners’ expectations should be tempered a bit.              Ethier has displayed only a slightly above average eye in his career              (8.7 BB%) and has only hit 9.3% of his fly balls out of the park.              Owners should expect just average numbers from Ethier in 2008.              However, given the chance to play every day he’s a nice alternative              to the norm and has plenty of upside.</p>
<p>Padres<strong> SP <span class="yshortcuts">Mark Prior</span></strong> threw 25 pitches off the mound to live              hitters for the first time since he had arthroscopic surgery on his              right shoulder last February. Prior has been place on the Padres              60-day DL and isn’t expected to return to the big club till at least              June 1st. Prior to an injury plague 2006 season, Prior had four              consecutive seasons of K/9 ratio great than 10.00. In addition,              Prior has a career 3.51 ERA and 1.23 WHIP, this is all despite              batters having a career .315 BABIP. Prior is worth stashing away in              leagues with multiple DL spots for the potential strikeout numbers              alone.</p>
<p>The              Rockies named <strong>Franklin Morales</strong> the team’s fifth starter.              Despite a 6.65 ERA this spring, fantasy owners should keep an eye on              the young Rockies hurler. Morales pitched well in his 8 starts in              the big leagues last year posting a 3.43 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP.              However, this was aided by a .274 BABIP and 6.7 HR/FB%. On the              positive side for Morales backers, he greatly reduced his BB/9 after              he got called up. In 112.2 minor league innings in 2007, Morales              posted a 4.63 BB/9. However, in just 39.1 major league innings,              Morales reduced this metric by 44.7% to 3.20, which is just around              the league average. It’s a small sample size but definitely a step              in the right direction. In addition, he showed himself to be an              extreme groundball pitcher (54.9% GB% in 2007) which bodes well in              <span class="yshortcuts">Colorado</span>. Duplicating his 2007 numbers over the course of the full              season for Morales seems a bit of a stretch but a 4.30 ERA and 1.30              WHIP wouldn’t be out of the question.</p>
<p>When the Rockies have a competition for the final spot in their              rotation and it’s between             <strong><span class="yshortcuts">Mark Redman</span></strong> and <strong><span class="yshortcuts">Josh              Towers</span></strong>, someone has to win. Redman was the winner as his 7.20              spring ERA just edged out Towers’ 7.23 ERA. If Redman even crossed              your mind as a potential deep sleeper, here are some numbers to              hopefully erase that thought. In three of the last four years,              Redman has posted a 1.50 WHIP or greater. In addition, his K/BB              ratio hasn’t even approached 2.00 since Bush’s first term in office.              To make matters worse, Redman’s FB% increased by 8.9%, a jump that              doesn’t bode well in <span class="yshortcuts">Coors Field</span>. Redman shouldn’t even be on the              radar for any fantasy owners.</p>
<p>Much to the chagrin of his fantasy owners, Marlins’ manager Fredi              Gonzalez stated his preference that <strong>SS Hanley Ramirez</strong> not do              quite as much basestealing this year. Lucky for fantasy owners, even              if there is a slight reduction in Ramirez’ stolen base attempts; he              is still the best hitting shortstop in the game. Ramirez absolutely              raked last year. He posted a .948 OPS and was also able to increase              his HR/FB% by 3%. One thing to watch from Ramirez is that he has              only showed average patience at the plate (7.5 BB% in 2007).              However, with a weaker lineup than in the past behind him, if he is              able to show even more patience, he should have some additional              stolen base run scoring opportunities.</p>
<p>Many owners passed on              <strong><span class="yshortcuts">Rich Harden</span></strong> in their drafts and for good reason; he’s only              pitched 71.1 innings since 2005. Harden was around the 50th pitcher              off the board in many drafts. After his first start vs. the Red Sox              in <span class="yshortcuts">Tokyo</span> on Wednesday, those who passed on him may be regretting              that decision. Harden pitched 6 strong innings, only allowing 3 hits              and 3 walks while notching 9 strikeouts. Even when the Red Sox              hitters were able to make contact, Harden had them fooled. His LD%              for the game was a miniscule 9.1% while his FB% was 63.6%. In other              words, Harden had the Red Sox hitters off balanced and popping up              his pitches for easy outs. It’s only one start but it’s a nice thing              for Harden owners to see and they should expect many more of them in              the future&#8230;as long as he can stay on the field.</p>
<p>Marlins <strong>OF              Jeremy Hermida</strong> has been battling a hamstring injury all spring              and hasn’t played in a major league spring training game since Mach              15th. However, he did appear in a minor league game yesterday as a              designated hitter. At this point, Hermida is likely to start the              year on the disabled list and probably miss the Marlins’ first few              games. However, Hermida owners shouldn’t panic yet. Hermida had a              great second half of the season in 2007. He posted a .340 batting              average and .956 OPS after the break. In addition, Hermida saw a              nice jump in his power numbers between 2006 and 2007. His HR/FB%              increased from 6.2% in 2006 to 15.7% in 2007. This correlated to 13              more home runs in ‘07 than in ‘06. His fantastic second half              combined with his power surge in 2007, make Hermida a nice breakout              candidate for 2008.</font></font></p>
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		<title>Stuff to chew on.</title>
		<link>http://fantasybits.com/fantasy-baseball/stuff-chew/</link>
		<comments>http://fantasybits.com/fantasy-baseball/stuff-chew/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 23 Mar 2008 23:24:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>motle</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fantasy Baseball]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Rich Hill
Rich Hill’s horrid outing on Thursday raises            some red flags. Hill’s spring has been littered with control problems,            walking 14 batters in just 12 2/3 innings. Such wild control issues   [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p align="left"><strong><font face="Verdana" size="2">Rich Hill</font></strong></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2">Rich Hill’s horrid outing on Thursday raises            some red flags. Hill’s spring has been littered with control problems,            walking 14 batters in just 12 2/3 innings. Such wild control issues            for pitchers who don’t usually exhibit control problems can often be            indicative of some latent injury concerns. While this is the first            thing that comes to my mind whenever I see an extreme lack of control,            I’m willing to give Hill a bit more of a pass because he’s working on            a new, quicker, delivery to the plate. Hill’s next start comes Tuesday            and while he’s guaranteed the #4 spot in the Cubs rotation, I’m going            to be paying close attention to Hill’s next start before he’s            guaranteed a spot in my starting lineup. </font></p>
<p align="left"><strong><font face="Verdana" size="2"><span class="yshortcuts">John Smoltz</span></font></strong></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2"><span class="yshortcuts">John Smoltz</span> was            scratched from his start on Friday with shoulder stiffness. We haven’t            seen much from Smoltz this spring as he had received approval from the            Braves to conduct most of his spring preparation on the back fields in            simulated games. At this point there’s no indication that Smoltz had            planned this program because of any lingering shoulder soreness            heading into the spring and Smoltz claims had Friday’s start been a            regular season start he would’ve taken the mound. He’s scheduled to            start next Wednesday and remains optimistic about his ability to make            that start, despite acknowledging another setback could result in a            brief DL stint to start the year. Smoltz has been remarkably            consistent, eclipsing 200 innings each of the last 3 seasons, and            should still be viewed as a tremendous #2 fantasy starter. At 41 there            will certainly be lingering concerns surrounding any reported arm            troubles, but Smoltz has proven his durability and his abilities to            pitch through pain throughout his career. </font></p>
<p align="left"><strong><font face="Verdana" size="2">Pedro Martinez</font></strong></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2">Pedro’s 2nd outing of            the spring was another positive one as he tossed 5 solid innings            against the Nationals. Pedro struck out 4 in the 5 innings without            walking a batter and only surrendered 5 base-runners and 2 runs.            Pedro’s strong spring should alleviate any concerns about Pedro’s            ability to come back after last year’s shoulder surgery. Martinez            won’t be the fantasy ace of the early portion of this decade, but he            should be able to settle into that solid #2-3 fantasy starter. His            inability to last deep into games may impact his raw totals in the            counting stats, but his ability to control the strike zone and his            strong <span class="yshortcuts">home park</span> should help keep his ratios down. </font></p>
<p align="left"><strong><font face="Verdana" size="2"><span class="yshortcuts">Aaron Harang</span></font></strong></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2"><span class="yshortcuts">Aaron Harang</span> continued            his strong spring on Friday shutting the Pirates out for 6 innings.            Harang struck out 5, only allowing 4 base-runners (all hits) during            his 6 shutout innings. Harang’s been a bit undervalued in the drafts            I’ve seen this year as he tends to sit towards the bottom of the 2nd            tier of fantasy aces despite consecutive 200+ K, 16 Win seasons.            Harang pitches in a difficult ballpark, but gets the benefit of facing            the NL Central opponents all season and should have improved bullpen            support this year with Francisco Cordero behind him, hopefully            boosting his win totals. Harang’s similar to Smoltz in my mind that            he’s an undervalued anchor to your staff that you can still land in            the middle rounds. Look for Harang to put together another 200+ K            season with another 15-19 wins with solid ratios.</font></p>
<p align="left"><strong><font face="Verdana" size="2">Yovani Gallardo</font></strong></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2">Its official, Yovani            Gallardo will be starting the season on the DL. The Brewers officially            placed Gallardo on the DL on Friday making sure that he’ll miss the            first two weeks of the season. Gallardo was originally scheduled to            miss up to the first month of the season, but based on his throwing            schedule it looks like the minimum stint on the DL remains possible.</font></p>
<p align="left"><strong><font face="Verdana" size="2"><span class="yshortcuts">Randy Johnson</span></font></strong></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2">Johnson’s 3rd start of            the spring yielded mixed results. While reports on his velocity            continued to remain strong, his performance was sub-par. Johnson gave            up 5 hits and 2 BB’s in his 3 2/3 innings while yielding 2 earned            runs. Johnson did strike out three, raising his total to 9 in 11 2/3            innings this spring, but he also served up another HR to <span class="yshortcuts">Andruw Jones</span>            and a 2B to <span class="yshortcuts">Chan Ho Park</span>. Johnson continues to focus on his health            rather than the results, which should be your focus heading into draft            day as well. I maintain Johnson as one of the better sleeper            candidates because of the incredible dominance he showed last year.            Johnson’s 72 K’s in 57 innings along with his 1.15 WHIP last year show            ace-level dominance and even if that only comes in 15-25 starts this            year, his current average draft position is giving owners strong            value.</font></p>
<p align="left">                                  <font face="Verdana" size="2">                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              </font><strong><font face="Verdana" size="2">Chris            Snyder</font></strong></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2">It’s been widely            publicized how incredibly thin the catching position is this year so            any potential “sleeper” deserves some attention. So if I had a player            that hit .284/.366/.503 in the 2nd half of last season and was hitting            .355/.436/.912 this spring would that be something you’d be interested            in? Well, let me introduce you to Chris Snyder, the Diamondbacks            catcher who appears to be grabbing the reigns as the full-time            catching option with Miguel Montero’s injury. Snyder’s main drawback            has been his need to split time with Montero, but with Montero likely            to start the season on the DL, Snyder has an opportunity to assert            himself as an everyday option. Keep him in mind as a 2nd catching            option with some upside as our current projection of .259-40-14-51 is            limited by the 342 AB’s. If he can get closer to 450 AB’s and his 2nd            half from last season carries over at all we could be looking at a            Ramon Hernandez in his prime type season, which would likely put him            just outside the clear cut Top 5 fantasy options (Martinez, Martin,            Mauer, McCann, Posada).</font></p>
<p align="left">                                  <font face="Verdana" size="2">                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              </font><strong><font face="Verdana" size="2">Alex            Gordon</font></strong></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2">Trey Hillman announced            on Friday that Alex Gordon is still in the running for the #3 slot in            the batting order. It was thought that Gordon was destined for the 7th            spot in the lineup, but this latest news could be a nice boost to the            youngster’s value. Gordon hit another HR on Friday and has put            together a solid spring hitting over .350 and slugging over .500. As            Schuyler mentioned in a previous spring blurb, Gordon’s getting vastly            overlooked in drafts this year and seems to be offering great value in            drafts. As much as we love to clamor over Ryan Braun’s 2007, Gordon            was universally considered the better prospect heading into the            season. Maybe some of this is because Gordon’s superior glove-work but            the bats aren’t that far off, as Gordon’s AA OPS of over 1.000 in his            first pro season would suggest. If Gordon bats 3rd he’ll likely see an            additional 80-100 plate appearances and could result in a significant            increase in both his Run and RBI numbers. </font></p>
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		<title>The Over Valued&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://fantasybits.com/fantasy-baseball/valued/</link>
		<comments>http://fantasybits.com/fantasy-baseball/valued/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 17 Mar 2008 20:27:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>motle</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fantasy Baseball]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fantasybits.com/fantasy-baseball/valued/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Every year some players are taken too early for the production they give. This doesn&#8217;t mean these players are bad, it means their value isn&#8217;t equal to their ADP.
Ryan Braun, 3B, MIL ( ADP = 15)
Braun may hit 35+ Homeruns in 2008, but for him to reach the value of a top 15 pick, he [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span class="Article_FullDescription">Every year some players are taken too early for the production they give. This doesn&#8217;t mean these players are bad, it means their value isn&#8217;t equal to their ADP.</p>
<p><strong>Ryan Braun, 3B, MIL ( ADP = 15)<br />
</strong>Braun may hit 35+ Homeruns in 2008, but for him to reach the value of a top 15 pick, he will need to smack 45 or more.  With a position switch to the outfield, and the specter of a “Sophomore Slump” looming, I’d rather draft a more proven commodity.</p>
<p>2008 Projection: 511AB, .288BA, 34HR, 91R, 97RBI, 15SB<br />
<strong>Derrek Lee, 1B, CHC ( ADP = 37)<br />
</strong>Lee is 2 years removed from his career year in 2006.  Many owners and draft guides expect a bounce in 2008, but how high will it be?  At 113, I may have him a little low at this point, but I want to see what he looks like in Spring Training before moving him up the line.  If he slides to pick 50-60, I’d be more comfortable with taking Lee.</p>
<p>2008 Projection: 577AB, .314BA, 22HR, 91R, 82RBI, 6SB<br />
<strong>Brian McCann, C, ATL ( ADP = 50)<br />
</strong>McCann is a player in the scarcest position, so it is no surprise that many fantasy owners would select him a little early.  If he stays healthy, he should easily hit his 2008 projections, but don’t expect Victor Martinez numbers from him.</p>
<p>2008 Projection: 498AB, .285BA, 19HR, 56R, 92RBI, 0SB<br />
<strong>Hunter Pence, OF, HOU ( ADP = 60)<br />
</strong>Pence had great output with limited at-bats in 2007; unfortunately, you can just project that pace onto a 650 at-bat season and make him into a superstar.  There will be a lot of closers and start pitchers available near pick 60, so its hard for me to bank on potential.  If you think he will get 600AB, then his Average Draft Pick of 60 is likely accurate.</p>
<p>2008 Projection: 468AB, .318BA, 17HR, 57R, 69RBI, 11SB<br />
<strong>Ian Kinsler, 2B, TEX ( ADP = 64)<br />
</strong>Kinsler has a lot of potential, but injuries have kept him from reaching it.  Since 2B is a scarce position, I can see Kinsler moving up into my top 100 by March 15, but that will depend on his Spring Training performances to date.</p>
<p>2008 Projection: 468AB, .270BA, 17HR, 80R, 58RBI, 17SB<br />
<strong>Nick Swisher, 1B/OF, CWS ( ADP = 86)<br />
</strong>I really like Nick Swisher.  A power hitter who qualifies at 1B and OF is a valuable commodity in fantasy baseball, but his Batting Average concerns me.  A move to the White Sox should improve his numbers, but with all of the good AL Central pitching he will be facing, don’t expect him to hit .300</p>
<p>2008 Projection: 557AB, .255BA, 28HR, 95R, 86RBI, 2SB<br />
<strong><br />
Carlos Delgado, 1B, NYM ( ADP = 125)<br />
</strong>Delgado had a rough 2007, and he is one of the key reasons why the Mets did not make the playoffs last year.  Delgado still has some possible upside, if he inspired by the Johan Santana deal.  In the heart of the Mets lineup, he will have to try hard not to get 100 Runs Batted In.  If he looks good in Spring training, I may bum up his Batting Average and Homeruns enough to make him a Top 150 Pick.</p>
<p>2008 Projection: 541AB, .259BA, 31HR, 80R, 100RBI, 2SB<br />
<strong>Adrian Beltre, 3B, SEA (ADP = 107)<br />
</strong>The last time Beltre was in a contract walk year, he had his best season.  Don’t expect him to hit 35+ homeruns in 2008.  If I needed a third baseman and Beltre was on the board at pick 150, I might consider him.  I’d rather go with a younger player with upside at pick 107.</p>
<p>2008 Projection: 627AB, .265BA, 25HR, 87R, 94RBI, 8SB<br />
<strong>Javier Vazquez, SP, CWS (ADP = 104)<br />
</strong>Vazquez has an Average Draft Pick near 100 because of his impressive strikeout total in 2007; however, there are a lot safer picks near his Average Draft Pick.  The AL Central will be tougher to pitch in than in 2007, so its hard for me to project more than 12 Wins for him.  I think I’ll go with a comparable NL Pitcher in a weaker division for 2008.</p>
<p>2008 Projection: 212IP, 196K, 12W, 4.330ERA, 1.226WHIP, 0SV</p>
<p><strong>Dustin Pedroia, 2B, BOS ADP = 169)</strong><br />
Pedroia had a very nice rookie season, and he is in one of the top offenses in baseball, but he isn’t going to post Top 100 statistics any time soon.  At pick 170, I’m looking for someone who has more upside potential.  If you need a second baseman though, he isn’t a bad choice near pick 185.</p>
<p>2008 Projection: 530AB, .313BA, 8HR, 86R, 50RBI, 7SB</p>
<p></span></p>
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		<title>4 TOP Prospects&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://fantasybits.com/fantasy-baseball/4-top-prospects/</link>
		<comments>http://fantasybits.com/fantasy-baseball/4-top-prospects/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 16 Mar 2008 21:42:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>motle</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fantasy Baseball]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fantasybits.com/fantasy-baseball/4-top-prospects/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[





Daric Barton,            1B, Oakland
Daric excels at getting            a good pitch to hit. His zone command and contact skills are            outstanding (120 walks/106 [...]]]></description>
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<p align="left"><strong><font face="Verdana" size="2">Daric Barton,            1B, <span class="yshortcuts">Oakland</span></font></strong></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2">Daric excels at getting            a good pitch to hit. His zone command and contact skills are            outstanding (120 walks/106 Ks in his last 735 AB over the last two            seasons). The problem is that he looks too much like Sean Casey &#8230;            without the power. </font></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2">His career high SLG% above AA was .438 before he hit the majors last            season where he posted 4 homers and 9 doubles in 72 ABs. His 4 HRs            were nearly half of the number he hit (9) in 516 AAA last year. He is            not going to SLG .639 over a full season but that was a welcome flash            of power. </font></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2">Daric is also struggling            a bit with LHP but he has a skill set that will allow him to make            gains there. If he cannot make power gains however, his value will be            cramped and he plays in a position that demands power production.            Despite what we saw in his short tour with the A’s last season, in the            long run, it is unlikely he will develop enough power to be            competitive in a starting 1B slot. </font></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2">Projections:<br />
.278/74 R/21 HR/70 RBI<font color="#800000"></font></font></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana"><strong><font size="2">Clay            Buchholz, RHP, <span class="yshortcuts">Boston</span></font></strong><font size="2"><br />
Clay, like rookie teammate Jacoby Ellsbury is simply a special player,            and a dream pitching prospect by most any standards. He brings a            mid-nineties fastball when he needs it, a hard slider, a plus-plus            vertical curve and it is all set up by a change up that is probably            the best pitch of the bunch.</font></font></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2">He was ludicrous in AA            last year (7-2, 1.77, 116 Ks/22 BBs in 86.2 IP) and posted 193Ks/ 45            walks in 148+ IP between there, AAA, and <span class="yshortcuts">Boston</span>. </font></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2">The Red Sox will limit            his innings again this year, to probably something around 180. That            will dampen his statistical potential and probably cause him to miss            some starts as the Sox aim him at September and beyond, but Clay is a            top-of-the-rotation prospect with multiple All-Star games and possibly            a Cy in his future.<br />
</font></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2">Projections: </font></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2">152 IP / 1.19 WHIP/3.37 ERA/ 12 W            / 134 K </font></p>
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<td colspan="2" bgcolor="#ffffff" height="0" width="607"><font face="Verdana" size="2">            </font><br />
<hr /> <font face="Verdana" size="2">          </font></p>
<blockquote><p> <font face="Verdana" size="2">           </font></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2"><strong><font size="2">Joba Chamberlain, RHP, NY Yankees</font></strong><font size="2"><br />
Like Clay Buchholz, the Yankees will work very hard to limit Joba       Chamberlains innings this year, and their target number for Joba is a low       140 IP. Instead of last year’s “Joba Rules”, the Yanks will pitch Joba in       relief to start the year with the intention of moving him to starter’s role       in the summer. </font></font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana" size="2">     </font> <font face="Verdana" size="2">     </font> <font face="Verdana" size="2">     </font> <font face="Verdana" size="2">                </font></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2"><font size="2">The good news is that his starting in the       bullpen will suppress his value in most leagues on draft day and you may be       able to get a bargain on this high-level prospect. The bad news is that       this may very well postpone his ascension to a top-half-of-the-rotation       starter for a year.<br />
Joba rose three levels last season starting one game in AAA. His seven       starts in AA yielded a 4-2 record with a 3.37 ERA, allowing just 32 hits on       40.1 IP with just 15 walks against 66 Ks. Overall he had 135 Ks and 27       walks over 88.1 ML IP. Ya &#8230; that’s pretty good and those AA IP came at 22       years old. I like this kid very nearly as much as I like Buchholz. He has       #1 starter potential.</font></font></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2"><br />
Projections;</font></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2">150 IP / 1.27 WHIP/3.41 ERA/ 12 W / 136 K </font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana" size="2">          </font></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2"><strong><font size="2">Jacoby Ellsbury, OF, <span class="yshortcuts">Boston</span></font></strong><font size="2"><br />
The “other” Red Sox prospect would be a once-in-a-GM’s-lifetime prospect in       most organizations.</font></font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana" size="2">     </font></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2"><font size="2">After ripping up the AA Eastern League to       the tune of a .452 AVG. over 73 ABs, Jacoby went to <span class="yshortcuts">Pawtucket</span> where he hit       “just” .298 in 363 ABs as a part of a brutally bad offense.  Then in <span class="yshortcuts">Boston</span>       Jacoby hit .353 in 116 ABs.</font></font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana" size="2">     </font></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2"><font size="2">His numbers with the Red Sox had some       quirks. He fanned 15 times and walked 6, which is a different zone command       animal from his 38 walks and 54 K in 436 ABs between AA and AAA.  On the       other hand, he hit 3 HRs in <span class="yshortcuts">Boston</span>, which is more than he hit all season in       the minors, and he slugged .509 in the majors.</font></font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana" size="2">     </font> <font face="Verdana" size="2">     </font></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2"><font size="2">I do not see him repeating that level of       power production this season but that is not why you should be seeking       Ellsbury. He will hit for average and score runs in a potent offense,       especially if he can hang in the lead off position. He will also steal       bases, quite probably 30 or more this year.</font></font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana" size="2">     </font></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2"><font size="2">Do not let his slow start this spring       dissuade you too much, he is the centerfielder of choice among the Red Sox       brass. Jacoby is 24 years old so it is hard to project a lot more physical       growth, but he may have a little growth left in his power game. That being       said he will forever be an AVG., Runs, SB guy, and not much more. </font>      </font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana" size="2">     </font></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2"><font size="2">His spectacular finish to last year and his       performance in the <span class="yshortcuts">World Series</span> will pump his price and there will be       someone in your league who will believe he’s realistically capable of 15       HRs and 70 Rbi &#8230; That’s unlikely, in 2008 or frankly, beyond, so don’t pay       for it. </font></font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana" size="2">     </font></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2"><font size="2">Ellsbury is going to be one of those players       who are more valuable to his MLB team than his fantasy owner. It will be       easy to overpay, so stay calm. </font></font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana" size="2">     </font></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana" size="2"> Projections: .283/ 63 R / 14 HR / 57 RBI / 28 SB </font></p>
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